When Are Home Heating Prices Expected to Go Down?

With winter weather intensifying, homeowners in the U.S. are experiencing the pain of home heating costs. Recent years have seen a remarkable rise in energy rates, leaving many in search of answers and relief. Learn what has an impact on home heating prices, the recent trends we’ve seen and strategies to keep your utility bills in check.

Varieties of Home Heating Fuel

Many fuels are used for home heating in the United States:

  • Natural gas heats 48% of American homes.
  • Heating oil is the fuel used in 5% of homes.
  • Propane is used in another 5%.
  • Electricity warms 40% of U.S. homes. Fossil fuels are still the main source for creating electricity despite the increase in renewable energy sources like wind and solar. 

What Affects the Rates of Fossil Fuels?

Considering the above information, it’s clear that fossil fuels heat a vast majority of North American households. Supply and demand is the most significant factor causing price fluctuations. An increase in supply—triggered by more production and storage rates—typically lowers prices, while a surge in demand—triggered by extreme weather, a booming economy and rising rates for alternative fuels—can cause prices to skyrocket.

Exactly How Much Has the Cost of Natural Gas Risen?

Domestic natural gas production outpaced consumption starting in 2017, leading to a general price decline in all of 2018. But, demand has soared recently across all sectors, causing natural gas prices to reach heights not seen in more than decade.

In 2022, the average wholesale cost of U.S. natural gas hit its highest price since 2008, hitting an average of $6.45 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This massive increase represented a tremendous leap of more than 53% from the previous year, marking it as one of the sharpest annual increases in history.

Numerous factors contributed to the unpredictable rise and uncertainty of natural gas prices last year. In early 2022, processing hiccups caused by freeze-offs and a substantial draw from natural gas reserves nudged prices up. Robust liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe and elsewhere, paired with a spike in domestic demand due to cold weather, stretched the price range even further.

In the spring of 2022, prices jumped past $9/MMBtu, only to fall by 40% following the fire and subsequent closure of the Freeport LNG export terminal. This incident sharply cut U.S. LNG exports and redirected more natural gas into storage. Unfortunately, as the summer heat eased, prices climbed yet again, hitting a high point in late August.

Moving into the fall, a boost in natural gas production and higher-than-average injections into storage saw prices fall closer to the five-year average. However, as temperatures fell, the demand for heating caused prices to rise once more.

When Will the Cost of Home Heating Fuel Cool Down?

The fluctuations in natural gas prices highlight the complicated interplay of factors influencing home heating prices. As we look ahead to the rest of the 2023-24 heating season, the market’s past behavior offers insights into future price patterns and the potential for cost-saving options.

As of late 2023, prices have come down from their previous highs due to robust production and relatively mellow temperatures. Even though demand remains steady, forecasters are predicting prices around $3.44/MMBtu this winter, offering some respite for individuals as we move through the heating season.

Ways to Cut Your Heating Bill

Regardless of how you heat your home or what prices are like, you can take several practical steps to boost energy efficiency and lower your heating costs. Here are a few strategies:

  • Seal drafty windows and doors with caulk and weatherstripping.
  • Use curtains to your advantage, making sure to pull them open during the day for free light and heat and then drawing them closed each night to insulate your windows.
  • Add more attic insulation to keep heat from rising out of your home.
  • Buy a smart thermostat that learns your habits and helps you save money.
  • Dial down the temperature on your thermostat when you’re out to avoid overheating an empty house.
  • Put on warmer clothes inside the home so you do not have to crank up the thermostat.
  • Make an appointment for seasonal furnace maintenance to keep your heating system in good working order.
  • Install a whole-house humidifier. Moist air feels warmer than dry air, so you feel more cozy at a lower temperature.

Bring Comfort Home in the U.S. with Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing

Nothing is more critical to the Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing team than your comfort and well-being. Our services can also help bring down home heating costs, which is good news for your finances. With ACE-certified technicians at the helm, you can expect quality, lasting remedies to all your comfort needs. The assurance of a 100% satisfaction guarantee means that if you’re not totally happy with our services, you know we will make things right.

As a company that prides itself on innovation, customer engagement and community involvement, you can trust Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing to make a significant difference in your life and sense of comfort. For more information about heating prices in the U.S. or personalized tips to help lower your utility bills, reach out to the professionals at Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing. Call 866-397-3787 today to learn more.

  • Zoning Systems: Customized Comfort in Every Room

    Central heating and cooling systems have reinvented home comfort and made it possible to stay completely comfy in any season or climate. However, while centralized systems supply a handy way to control the temperature, they at times fall short when it comes to evenly distributing heated or cooled... Continue reading

  • Eight Frequent Heating Myths Debunked

    There are plenty of myths out there about home heating that lead to confusion and inefficient furnace usage. It’s time to set the record straight. Here, the heating professionals at Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing debunk the eight most common myths to keep your home... Continue reading

  • Eight Ways to Upgrade Your HVAC System

    During the coldest time of the year in the U.S., there’s no better way to improve your home’s comfort than with easy and effective upgrades. It’s not only about keeping the house toasty warm as the snow begins to fall—it’s about maximizing efficiency and removing pollutants from the very... Continue reading